Market vs Reality [Football Season]

Tracking what prediction markets think — and how accurate they are.

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Data sources: Prediction-market data from Kalshi. NFL schedules and game results from nflverse / nfldata. Applicable nflverse data is used with attribution under CC BY 4.0.
Market probabilities are calculated from observed bid/ask prices. Market vs Reality [Football Season] is an independent research project and is not affiliated with Kalshi, nflverse, or the NFL.